A baya-bayan nan dai karuwar tashe-tashen hankula tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine ya haifar da girgizar kasa a kasuwannin hada-hadar kudi da kasuwannin kayayyaki na duniya, kuma kasuwannin hada-hadar hannayen jari da dama sun yi asara mai yawa.Sakamakon hasashen da ake yi na cewa rikicin da ke tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine zai kawo cikas ga kasuwannin kayayyaki na kasa da kasa, jarin jari ya kwararowa zuwa kayayyakin hada-hadar kudi, kuma ra'ayin sayar da gajeren lokaci a kasuwannin gaba ya karu, wanda kuma ya yi wani tasiri a kai. kasuwar karfen nan ta gida.Bayan ɗan gajeren koma baya, an sake samun raguwa daban-daban.Duk da haka, idan aka yi la'akari da ma'auni na Rasha da Ukraine a cikin sarkar ma'adinai da karafa, marubucin ya yi imanin cewa rikici tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine yana da wuyar haifar da babban farashi don albarkatu masu tasowa a cikin sarkar masana'antun karafa na kasata, da kuma tasirin gaba daya. a kan kasuwar karafa na cikin gida yana da iyaka.rikice-rikice na gajeren lokaci.
A gefe guda, bayanai daga Ƙungiyar Ƙarfe da Ƙarfe ta Duniya sun nuna cewa ƙarfen ƙarfe da Rasha da Ukraine za su yi a shekarar 2020 zai kasance tan miliyan 111.026 da tan miliyan 78.495, wanda ya kai kashi 4.75% da 3.36% na duniya, duka biyun. wadanda kadan ne.Don haka rikici tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine ba zai haifar da karancin iskar tama a duniya ba, wanda hakan zai haifar da tashin gwauron zabi.Bugu da ƙari, samar da ma'adinan ƙarfe ga ƙasata ta hanyar Rasha da Ukraine yana da iyaka, don haka ƙarshen kayan albarkatu na kasuwar karfe ba zai yi tasiri sosai ba.
A daya hannun kuma, an yi imani da kasashen duniya cewa da wuya rikicin Rasha da Ukraine ya ci gaba da tabarbarewa.Don haka, a matsayin kasadar kasa da kasa, tasirinsa ga kasuwannin kayayyaki na kasa da kasa da kasuwar hada-hadar kudi ya fi jan hankali, kuma a hankali kasuwar za ta narke tasirinta.Ga kasuwar karfe na cikin gida, kodayake rikice-rikice na Rasha-Ukrain a matsayin kwatsam zai haifar da ƙiyayya a kasuwa, za a gyara tasirin da ke tattare da motsin rai da sauri ba tare da sauye-sauye masu mahimmanci a cikin tushen kasuwa ba.
Bugu da kari, idan aka yi la'akari da bayanan danyen karafan da Rasha da Ukraine suka fitar a cikin shekaru 10 da suka gabata, yawan danyen karfen da Rasha ke fitarwa ya ninka sau 2 zuwa 3 na kasar Ukraine, haka kuma danyen karfen da Rasha ke fitarwa yana da kwanciyar hankali, yayin da danyen karfen da kasar Ukraine ke fitarwa ya nuna cewa. yanayin raguwa a kowace shekara.A shekarar 2021, danyen karafa da Rasha ke hakowa zai kai tan miliyan 76, sannan kuma danyen karafan da Ukraine za ta hako zai kai tan miliyan 21.4.A halin yanzu, saboda rikici tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine, da yawa daga cikin masana'antun sarrafa karafa na Ukraine sun daina samar da su.Rikicin da ake yi tsakanin Rasha da Ukraine ya jawo koma baya ga ci gaban masana'antar karafa ta kasar Ukraine, sannan kuma ya kara tsadar kayayyaki a duniya.Sai dai bayan rikicin, sake gina ababen more rayuwa na kasar Ukraine zai taimaka wajen habaka ci gaban masana'antar karafa ta kasar, ta yadda za a kara bukatar karafa.
Ana iya cewa, rikicin na Rasha da Ukraine ba ya da wani tasiri mai dada hankali kan kasuwar karafa na cikin gida, ko dai dangane da nauyinsa a cikin sarkar masana'antar karafa ko kuma tsayin daka na tada hankali.Sai dai kuma, hauhawar farashin danyen mai a kasuwannin duniya, ko shakka babu zai haifar da hauhawar farashin mai a cikin gida, wanda zai iya shafar farashin kayayyakin karafa na cikin gida zuwa wani matsayi, wanda ke bukatar mahalarta kasuwar su mai da hankali.
A wannan mataki, dabarun tuki na kasuwar karafa na cikin gida har yanzu yana kan bangaren siyasa da bangaren bukatar.A matsayin wani abu na tashin hankali na waje, rikicin Rasha da Ukraine ya fi "buga ganga" kuma ba zai yi tasiri sosai kan yanayin farashin karfe na gida ba.A halin yanzu, matakin manufofin yana ci gaba da haɓaka ikon sarrafa ma'adinan ƙarfe don kiyaye tsayayyen aiki na farashin tama.Haka kuma, tun bayan da aka kammala hutun bikin bazara, ba a fitar da bukatar kasuwa kamar yadda ake tsammani ba, wanda ya haifar da halin da ake ciki a halin yanzu, inda farashin karafa ya yi kasa a gwiwa.A cikin lokaci na gaba, lokacin da ba a kwance tsarin kula da manufofin ba, yana da wuya farashin kayan albarkatun ya tashi sosai, kuma yana da wuya cewa dandalin farashin karfe zai tashi sosai.A karkashin wannan yanayin, kasuwar karafa za ta fi dacewa da ingancin bukatar "zinariya uku azurfa hudu".A cikin ci gaba da gyare-gyaren buƙatu, ba a yanke hukuncin cewa farashin ƙarfe na iya samun ci gaba mai ƙima.Duk da haka, la'akari da cewa halin da ake ciki a Rasha da Ukraine bai riga ya bayyana ba, har yanzu akwai haɗari na geopolitical na waje, kuma har yanzu ana yin ka'idojin manufofin cikin gida, farashin karfe ba shi da yanayin tashin hankali a cikin gajeren lokaci, kuma har yanzu zai kasance. mamayewa da girgizawa da haɓakawa.
Lokacin aikawa: Maris-05-2022